Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.720016 3.965748 4.227029 4.526816 4.862905 5.229988 5.663887
2025-09-28 3.293764 3.631182 4.010778 4.474367 5.032204 5.691218 6.543457
2025-10-05 3.071478 3.461119 3.916238 4.496600 5.231640 6.153403 7.435229
2025-10-12 2.931974 3.362656 3.881362 4.567266 5.475525 6.677771 8.469528
2025-10-19 2.820264 3.282451 3.853689 4.633176 5.707161 7.201691 9.584108
2025-10-26 2.711941 3.194928 3.804890 4.659803 5.879323 7.654883 10.671580
2025-11-02 2.597735 3.090323 3.723357 4.630380 5.962602 7.979797 11.610514
2025-11-09 2.461679 2.948477 3.581800 4.503620 5.886618 8.042642 12.099637
2025-11-16 2.356185 2.840868 3.479056 4.422514 5.868435 8.190853 12.771226
2025-11-23 2.300574 2.796320 3.458764 4.457188 6.029083 8.653259 14.166300
2025-11-30 2.241978 2.744281 3.424181 4.466591 6.148000 9.056985 15.552402
2025-12-07 2.139315 2.627404 3.292156 4.319810 5.997220 8.951435 15.758279
2025-12-14 2.054874 2.535779 3.196555 4.230316 5.947110 9.051293 16.552917
2025-12-21 1.987812 2.466129 3.129884 4.182401 5.965280 9.289522 17.800322
2025-12-28 1.945479 2.428996 3.107969 4.202339 6.101774 9.782978 19.952806
2026-01-04 1.918105 2.411510 3.113452 4.265585 6.321143 10.488524 23.136161
2026-01-11 1.891376 2.393488 3.116675 4.324513 6.538186 11.234275 27.003532
2026-01-18 1.857527 2.363554 3.099983 4.348304 6.690106 11.863052 30.995251
2026-01-25 1.813694 2.317261 3.055856 4.322015 6.740278 12.255336 34.374583
2026-02-01 1.751794 2.242345 2.964409 4.208624 6.604747 12.151762 35.298981
2026-02-08 1.702628 2.184900 2.898201 4.135958 6.546834 12.245014 37.412544
2026-02-15 1.679770 2.165815 2.891272 4.167035 6.706847 12.959879 44.058629
2026-02-22 1.653062 2.140001 2.872467 4.175460 6.819509 13.572002 51.265787